Business
Prediction market odds on Tesla-SpaceX merger are above 50% for early 2027
Kalshi odds for a Tesla-SpaceX merger rose above 50% for early 2027 as Barclays outlined how a deal could work.
Advertisement
Topic
Prediction
Business
Blockchain.com seeks U.S. approval for prediction markets, crypto derivatives trading
Blockchain.com is seeking CFTC designation and registration to offer U.S. event contracts and cryptocurrency derivatives.
Science
A quantum prediction from 1931 just came to life
Nearly a century after physicist Hans Bethe predicted them, scientists have created and directly observed unusual quantum states known as “Bethe strings” in an ultracold gas. By cooling cesium atoms to near absolute zero and trapping them in thousands of tiny one-dimensional tubes, researchers were able to make groups of atoms bind together without ordinary chemical bonds. These strange clusters could contain six or more particles and even collide with one another without falling apart.
Business
NFL tells Supreme Court prediction markets are gambling and should be regulated by the states
In an amicus brief supporting New Jersey regulators in their battle against Kalshi, the NFL argues sports prediction contracts are effectively gambling
Business
House Democrat targets candidate prediction market trades after opponent’s Kalshi penalty
A new bill bans federal candidates from trading prediction market contracts related to their own elections and would result in a fine if violated.
Politics
Burnham rejects Swinney's prediction that he will be 'last prime minister'
John Swinney had referred to Andy Burnham as the "last prime minister".
Business
Prediction market traders think the U.S. added more jobs in September than economists estimate
The higher-than-consensus expectations are a bet that the U.S. had another strong month of job growth.
Business
CFTC says prediction markets' 'mentions' contracts present a higher risk of manipulation
The announcement comes after reports in August that the agency was conducting an internal review into the event contract type.
Advertisement
Business
Sportsbooks remain king this football season, but upstarts are making a run for the money
"Prediction markets are growing the overall market — at least for now," said Chris Grove, partner emeritus at Eilers & Krejcik Gaming.